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MALEEHA LODHI
PERSPECTIVE

Maleeha Lodhi is a former Pakistani envoy to the US and UK.

US’ India-in-NSG is selective policy

Criticism of Sino-Pak cooperation was a ploy to deflect attention from the US-driven effort to include India in NSG.

here was a familiar pattern to last month's meeting in Seattle of the Nuclear Suppliers Group, a voluntary cartel of 46 countries that seeks to regulate nuclear trade. At a time when the forum's annual plenary meeting was debating the US plan for India's membership of the NSG, news reports referred to objections from some Western countries over China's nuclear cooperation with Pakistan. Criticism of Sino-Pakistan cooperation served as a ploy to deflect attention away from the effort to expand the US-driven policy of nuclear exceptionalism for India. This has been in play since the Indo-US civilian nuclear agreement came into force in 2008 along with the NSG waiver, which allowed nuclear exports to India despite the country not being a signatory to the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

The US drive for India's membership got a decisive boost when Barack Obama visited Delhi in November 2010 when he declared support for India joining the quartet of multilateral export control regimes, NSG, Wassenaar Arrangement, Australia Group and Missile Technology Control Regime. This was followed by US-Indian diplomatic efforts aimed at securing India membership of the NSG. The US circulated a "Food for Thought" paper at last year's plenary meeting of the forum in the Netherlands. It set out the case for India's membership and ways to bring it into the NSG. These arguments were echoed in a Non Paper tabled at the Seattle meeting on 21-22 June aimed at addressing objections from several NSG members about admitting a non-NPT country that was not bound by its obligations.

America's case for a country-specific rather than a criteria-based approach rested on the argument that India's nuclear record and commitment to nonproliferation norms qualified it as a "like minded country" to join other NSG member nations. This view has not gone unchallenged because this would make India the only country to be allowed into the NSG, which is not a member of the NPT.

The debate at the Seattle meeting on evolving criteria for new members was inconclusive. Several countries expressed reservations on a move that elaborated no criteria for membership. Others questioned the need to expand membership. China and Turkey have been among the strongest advocates of the view — that accords with Pakistan's position — that if membership has to be expanded to nuclear nations outside the NPT then they should all be brought into the regime. As the NSG works by consensus, objections from several members in the Seattle meeting made any agreement to admit India elusive.

In the midst of this, questions raised at the NSG meeting by some countries including America about China's plans to expand the Chashma nuclear reactors in Pakistan seemed to be an attempt to change the subject from the controversy over India's membership. US Deputy Energy Secretary Daniel Poneman, incoming chairman of the NSG, said that the US and other countries were continuing to seek "information" from China about its intention to sell two more reactors to Pakistan. Since this issue was first raised in the 2010 NSG meeting in New Zealand, China has rejected calls for "more information" by asserting that construction of additional reactors was covered by a general and generic agreement with Pakistan that was signed prior to it joining the NSG in 2004 and "grandfathered" under the NSG's provisions.

Attempts in the Western media to cast China-Pakistan civilian cooperation as a "counter" and "response" to the Indo-US pact and to equate the two are spurious. The latter has global scope and enables India to gain worldwide access to nuclear material and technology as well as assured fuel supply. Pakistan-China cooperation is bilateral and consistent with international legality as the two additional power plants (like the previous ones) will be under full IAEA safeguards and oversight. This makes the proliferation argument against it patently specious.

As for India's membership of the NSG, Washington remains committed to help achieve this goal. But a selective nuclear policy will have far reaching consequences. Not only will this accentuate the asymmetry in strategic capabilities between India and Pakistan and erode nuclear deterrence in South Asia but also risk fuelling a more dangerous regional arms race.

 
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